The Justice Fund looks through the entire SCOTUS case docket and predicts the outcome of cases.
After predicting each case, The Justice Fund assesses the impact of the case's result on the stock market.
Finally, once a case has been thoroughly analyzed and deemed "investable," funds are invested into the securities anticipated to be positively impacted by SCOTUS.
Cases on the SCOTUS docket that have not been ruled upon yet but are expected to positively impact corporations and economic sectors.
Issue: Were the FDA's orders denying applications to market e-cigarettes arbitrary and capricious?
Prediction: Wages and White Lion should win due to the overturning of Chevron Deference, allowing courts to define "arbitrary" regardless of the FDA's definition.
Impact: Looser marketing restrictions for tobacco companies will increase demand and, thus, sales of nicotine products.
Trial Timeframe: Added to the docket on 07/02/2024 and is yet to be argued.
Cases with a published written opinion, however their corresponding investments are still held by The Justice Fund in anticipation of future growth.
Issue: Can interactive computer services be held liable when making targeted recommendations of another party’s content?
Prediction (CORRECT): Google would win due to overwhelming Republican support for the First Amendment, free speech and Section 230 of the Communications Decency.
Impact: Social media companies, which depend on digital advertising revenue, will have reaf legal protections.
Trial Timeframe: Added to the docket on 10/03/2022, argued on 02/21/2023, and was remanded on 05/18/2023.
Issue: Does the National Bank Act (NBA) preempt the application of state escrow-interest laws to national banks?
Prediction (IN: BofA would win due to the supremacy clause, especially because of McCulloch v. Maryland, and the potential for significant interference of bank powers.
Impact: National banks, especially in left-leaning states, will be exempt from paying interest on escrow accounts, increasing their bottom lines.
Trial Timeframe: Added to the docket on 10/13/2023, argued on 02/27/2024,
Cases with published opinions, and their corresponding investments have been completely sold.
Issue: Does NY’s law requiring concealed-carry permits solely for self-defense violate the Second Amendment?
Prediction (CORRECT): NYSRPA would win due to recent court and Republican precedent (DC v. Heller) affirming gun rights.
Impact: There would be a larger demand for firearms, thus, more revenue for firearm manufacturers.
Trial Timeframe: Added to the docket on 04/26/2021, argued on 11/03/2021, and decided in favor of NYSRPA on 6/23/2022.
Issue: Does California’s (CA) law banning the sale of any inhumanely raised pork, even if it was produced outside of CA, violate the Constitution?
Prediction (INCORRECT): NPPC would win due to the Interstate Commerce Clause and Republican dismay for CA.
Impact: The pork industry would have the explicit right to implement inhumane policies that lower production costs and raise profits.
Trial Timeframe: Added to the docket on 03/28/22, argued on 10/11/2022, and decided against NPPC on 05/11/2023.
Issue: Can the EPA regulate greenhouse gas emissions in any industry if it considers cost and energy?
Prediction (CORRECT): WV would win due to Republican opposition to fossil fuel regulation.
Impact: If the EPA had less control, the oil and coal industries would have more freedom to produce and sell fossil fuels.
Trial Timeframe: Added to the docket on 10/29/2021, argued on 2/28/2022, and decided in favor of WV on 6/30/2022.
Issue: Is Mississippi (Dobbs) constitutionally able to ban nearly all abortions after 15 weeks of gestational age?
Prediction (CORRECT): Dobbs would win due to known court and partisan opposition to abortions.
Impact: If abortions become restricted, people will rely more on contraceptives to prevent births.
Trial Timeframe: Added to the docket on 05/17/2021, argued on 12/01/2021, and decided in favor of Dobbs on 6/24/2022.
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